I am again for a second straight week of protection for this WR/CB matchups column. I will be protecting who cannot cowl their opponent as soon as once more (I am a sucker for a great play on phrases). I am going to do my finest to present you just a few of my favourite performs and I am additionally attempting to search for some extra contrarian spots as a result of everybody already is aware of to play Cooper Kupp, proper?
A number of of those receivers may find yourself making your money sport construct, however most of them fall squarely into “GPP consideration” and I believe you will discover most of them comparatively frivolously rostered in DFS contests this weekend.
Matchups for the large receiver place aren’t at all times as black and white as they are often for different positions. Receivers generally transfer across the formation or might face shadow protection, that means these matchups have to be damaged down deeper primarily based on that knowledge. Now, listed here are the highest WR vs CB matchups for Week 5. Use these to set season-long lineups, in addition to acquire a aggressive edge within the DFS video games. The matchup knowledge used on this article is from PFF.
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Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders vs. Kristian Fulton
DraftKings $6200 / FanDuel $6500
I would be mendacity if I instructed you that I’ve performed Scary Terry even as soon as this season. Even after I was stacking Washington the primary few weeks, I used to be taking part in the cheaper receivers like Dotson and Samuel with Wentz. He is had a disappointing begin to the yr for a WR1, having cracked 100 yards simply as soon as (Week 3 in opposition to Philadelphia) and has just one TD catch (all the way in which again in Week 1 in opposition to Jacksonville).
However I’m at all times trying to purchase low on gifted gamers, particularly when they’re in good spots. The Commanders are solely slight underdogs this week in opposition to Tennessee and have proven that they are not afraid to let Wentz throw the ball 40+ occasions a sport. They’re possible going to need to do it anyway, as their protection has not stopped opposing groups fairly often. So we’re in all probability getting one other pass-heavy sport script from Washington in opposition to a Tennessee secondary that has allowed the fourth-most passing yards per sport to opponents.
They’ve additionally allowed the third-most yards per passing try, that means they’re giving up huge chunk performs – and people are sometimes McLaurin’s specialty as he is seventh within the NFL in common air yards per goal (15.8).
We went after Fulton final week with Michael Pittman and it did not fairly work out, however Indianapolis nonetheless threw for 356 yards whereas taking part in from behind. Fulton is Tennessee’s finest nook and is the Forty second-ranked nook by PFF, nonetheless that score is boosted by a 92 grade in opposition to the run. He is truly rated the 72nd-best nook in protection. If there was per week the place McClaurin may escape, I believe it is this one!
Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks vs. Bradley Roby
DraftKings $5600 / FanDuel $6800
Lockett was outshined by DK Metcalf final week however nonetheless completed with a really respectable 6-91 on 8 targets. Geno Smith is taking part in very well proper now and has developed a pleasant rapport with each Lockett and Metcalf, which is simply one of many the explanation why I just like the Seahawks as highway underdogs this week.
The Saints are a pass-funnel protection that normally shut down opposing run video games, however they really rank thirteenth this season in opposition to the run and cross in DVOA. Seattle was a run-first offense, however this yr they’ve truly thrown the ball 61% of the time this yr.
Neither of the Saints’ corners charges very nicely this season as Marshon Lattimore and Roby have middling grades of 55 and 54, respectively. However Lattimore’s status precedes him and if we predict he is prone to lock onto the bigger-bodied Metcalf extra typically, then I like Lockett’s possibilities in opposition to Roby.
Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints vs. Michael Jackson
DraftKings $5700 / FanDuel $6900
It is official, Michael Thomas is out, and with Jarvis Landry nonetheless questionable we must always see Olave operate as the highest choice within the passing sport for New Orleans in opposition to Seattle. Final week, he caught 4 balls for 67 yards and a rating and was focused 7 occasions by backup Andy Dalton. It seems to be like Dalton once more this week and I’ve sufficient confidence in his skills to suppose that he can get the ball to Olave typically and that Olave will be capable to get open in opposition to this poor Seattle secondary.
Whether or not he is squaring off with Jackson or Tariq Woolen, he might be going through a below-average nook in a Seattle secondary that has allowed the fifth-most passing yards per sport and probably the most yards per passing try (8.7). We noticed Goff and the Lions cross throughout Seattle final week and I believe we see Dalton have some success right here, too.
The Saints have historically been run-first, like Seattle, however are additionally passing much more this season (63% of the time). This sport has some bizarre, perhaps sneaky shootout enchantment, and Olave’s large air yard share (42%) continues to be one of many highest within the league. He is operating the kind of routes we need to see for a receiver’s fantasy worth. This could possibly be one other huge spot for Olave to shine and bolster his stats as he makes a run for Offensive Rookie of the Yr.
Zay Jones, Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Derek Stingley Jr.
DraftKings $4100 / FanDuel $5700
Jones is ready to play this week after spending many of the week on the harm report. My colleague Andrew Lalama initiatives that Jones finally ends up seeing Stingley Jr. extra typically on Sunday, which might be excellent as he charges far worse in protection (45.6) than the Texans’ finest nook Steven Nelson (77.5). We may see Nelson lock on to Christian Kirk, too, which might imply extra snaps for Jones in opposition to the lesser Houston corners.
Jones is way too low cost right here for the extent of involvement that he is had on this offense. He missed final week’s sport however averaged six catches on eight targets in Jacksonville’s first three video games. Jones has a strong 79% catch price this yr, good for ninth-best within the NFL, and is averaging 5 yards after the catch. Even when he isn’t working down the sector as typically as Kirk, he is been extremely productive along with his alternatives.
A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles vs. Byron Murphy Jr.
DraftKings $7500 / FanDuel $8000
I believe it will be one other huge week for Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ passing sport. Philadelphia has the 4th-best DVOA cross offense within the league by way of the primary 4 weeks and brings their aerial assault into Arizona to face a protection that has surrendered over 250 passing yards per sport and ranks twenty eighth in DVOA passing protection.
Murphy Jr. is Arizona’s finest nook, however he ranks solely 51st in general score on PFF and has a middling protection grade of simply 61.4. To be honest, you could possibly in all probability embrace Brown on this column each week, he is a match-up nightmare for opposing corners along with his measurement and pace. Jalen Hurts continues to look his manner before everything as he leads the group in receptions, yards, and targets. I am satisfied the touchdowns might be coming, too, since Brown has just one receiving TD regardless of having a 33% pink zone goal share.
Brown and the Eagles passing assault must be well-liked this week, however that is too good of a spot to cross up. Whereas Philly likes to run the ball, I believe Arizona has a ok defensive entrance to decelerate the run sport and power Hurts and the Eagles into throwing the ball extra, making a sport script wherein they end as the highest stack on the board.
Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings vs. Kindle Vidor
DraftKings $6300 / Fanduel $6300
I really like taking part in Thielen in opposition to groups which have a giant dropoff from their high nook to their second nook as most groups are going to try to cease Justin Jefferson with their finest cowl man, proper? That is precisely the case right here with Chicago as Jaylon Johnson must be tasked with slowing down Jefferson, leaving Kindle Vidor (47.9 PFF protection grade) on Adam Thielen.
Thielen is a WR1 that’s functioning as a WR2 on this offense. He has measurement, first rate pace, and is an elite route runner. He is operating the much less thrilling routes on this offense however is a man that Kirk Cousins depends on to maneuver the chains. Folks do not love taking part in possession receivers and it is true his ceiling goes to be decrease than Jefferson’s each week. However he is a strong pink zone risk and has seen his targets slowly enhance the final three weeks from 7 to eight to 9 in opposition to New Orleans final week.
The Vikings cross offense has an amazing match-up right here general in opposition to a middling Bears secondary and cross rush, so I positively need some publicity to items of this passing sport. If he goes 7-75 with a landing this week at this value, he will win you some cash!
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